Measured Science
Health & medicine

Losing the same weight, keto dieters shed more liver fat

In a trial of 42 adults with fatty liver and prediabetes, each group lost about 10% of their weight. Liver fat fell by two-thirds on a keto diet and by under half on Mediterranean or very-low-fat diets. But the groups were small, liver fat was a secondary measure taken while people were still eating keto, and the trial can't say whether the edge lasts or what months of keto do to cholesterol.

Evidence labelLiver fat: Early Liver insulin index: Early, close to Promising Muscle insulin: Early LDL: Early Popular claim: Overstated
Claim
Liver fat (Early): At matched weight loss, liver fat fell further on keto, from 19.4% to 6.2% of the liver, than on the Mediterranean diet (18.1% to 10.3%) or the very-low-fat diet (17.7% to 9.6%). A secondary outcome, one of dozens of measures, not corrected for multiple tests.
Liver insulin index (Early, close to Promising): A liver insulin sensitivity index, one of the two main outcomes, rose two to three times as much on keto. It is calculated from fasting insulin and the liver's glucose output, and was measured the morning after a day of eating the assigned diet.
Muscle insulin (Early): Muscle insulin sensitivity, the other main outcome, rose about 50% on all three diets, with no difference found. The trial finished with fewer people than its own power calculation called for.
LDL (Early): LDL cholesterol didn't differ clearly among diets: it fell 10 mg/dL on keto (range −22 to +2), 22 on the Mediterranean diet and 8 on the very-low-fat diet. The trial wasn't sized to detect a difference in LDL.
Popular claim (Overstated): "Keto diet cut liver fat by 67% in a clinical trial" (ScienceDaily headline, 29 Aug 2026, reprinting a Cell Press release; the same figure led Labroots, Fox News and Blavity via MSN). The 67% is the keto group's own before-and-after change, most of which the other diets matched: they cut liver fat by 45%
Studied in
People: 55 adults aged 18 to 55 with obesity, prediabetes and fatty liver, randomized 17 / 18 / 20; 42 finished and were analysed (average BMI 39), 14 per diet (9 women and 5 men in each), mostly White; no post-menopausal women, no one with diabetes. Washington University in St. Louis, 2016 to 2025
Design
Randomized trial, three parallel groups, all food supplied. Calories were adjusted so every group lost about 10% of body weight (achieved: 10.4%, 10.2%, 10.1%) over 4.6 to 5.4 months, then held weight steady for 3 to 4 weeks before retesting. Unblinded (diets can't be hidden). Retesting was done while people ate their assigned diet; baseline tests used a standard Western diet. Only people who finished were analysed
Status
Peer-reviewed, Cell Metabolism, published online 27 August 2026. Registered in 2016 as NCT02706262; the registry lists whole-body insulin sensitivity as the main outcome, and liver fat as a secondary one
Replicated
Liver fat: partly. An independent Danish trial of a moderately lower-carbohydrate diet at matched weight loss, in people with type 2 diabetes, pointed the same way but wasn't clear of chance. A 2026 Helsinki-led study with Yale colleagues found liver fat fell more on a short spell of calorie-cut keto than on a calorie-cut non-keto diet (29% against 20%). The same lab's own 2009 trial found no clear difference at 7% weight loss (11 per group).
Liver insulin index: partly. The Helsinki-led study found liver insulin sensitivity rose about three times as much on keto (59% against 21%). It was short, not randomized and measured on the diets, so we count it as support rather than a repeat (we read its abstract and registry record, and did not rate it).
Muscle insulin, LDL: no independent repeat
Funding
US National Institutes of Health and the Foundation for Barnes-Jewish Hospital. The senior author, Samuel Klein, reports advisory fees from AbbVie, 89bio and Boehringer Ingelheim, a grant from Merck and trial support from Viking Therapeutics. No food-industry funding declared
We read
Full paper (the accepted manuscript, free via PubMed Central), including both tables, all figure captions, methods and declarations, plus the trial registry record. Not the supplement (which holds the table of side effects), the raw data file, or the images of the figures, including the flow chart of who dropped out and the plotted insulin-index values, which we couldn't open. The ScienceDaily reprint of the Cell Press release, and the headlines and summaries of the first three results of a Bing News search. For the related studies, the full 2009 paper and the others' abstracts
Would change our mind
Up: the keto group's extra liver-fat loss persisting after its members go back to a mixed diet at steady weight (the registry lists follow-up visits for up to two years), and an independent team finding the same. Down: the advantage vanishing once carbohydrates return, or a larger trial finding LDL clearly worse on keto
All numbers are from the paper's Table 1, Table 2, text and figure captions, or the registry. Absolute differences between groups are our arithmetic from Table 1 (see notes). No numbers come only from coverage.

For four months, every bite the 42 volunteers ate came out of a freezer bag. The kitchen at Washington University in St. Louis packed 500-calorie entrées to order: omelets with bacon and sausage for one group, minestrone and quinoa for another, red beans and rice for the third. The goal was to make three very different diets produce the same weight loss, so any difference left over would belong to the food.

The claim going around. "Keto diet cut liver fat by 67% in a clinical trial," ScienceDaily reported on 29 August, reposting a Cell Press release. Labroots, and Fox News and Blavity via MSN, led with the same figure. The trial is careful and the 67% is real, but it isn't the size of keto's advantage.

What they did. Max Petersen, Samuel Klein and colleagues recruited adults aged 18 to 55 with obesity, prediabetes (blood sugar above normal but below diabetes) and fatty liver, meaning at least 5% of the liver was fat on an MRI scan. Fifty-five were randomly assigned to one of three diets. The keto diet got 4% of its calories from carbohydrate and 73% from fat, with 23% from saturated fat. The Mediterranean diet was 50% carbohydrate and 35% fat. A plant-forward very-low-fat diet was 70% carbohydrate and 15% fat.

Calories were cut until each person had lost about 10% of their weight, which took four to five and a half months. The groups landed at 10.4%, 10.2% and 10.1%, 11 to 12 kg each. After three or four weeks at steady weight, everyone was retested, while still eating their assigned diet. Thirteen people dropped out, and 42 were analysed, 14 per diet.

What they found. Losing 10% of body weight helped everyone. Liver fat fell by about 45% on the Mediterranean and very-low-fat diets, and muscle insulin sensitivity rose about 50% on all three, with no difference found between diets. The keto group's liver fat fell further, by 67% on average: from 19.4% of the liver to 6.2%, against about 18% to 10% on the other two. In absolute terms, keto removed roughly 3 to 5 more percentage points of liver fat than either alternative (our arithmetic from the paper's table; the keto group started a little higher).

That difference, not the 67%, is the measure of keto's edge.

Keto also led on several blood-sugar measures. Long-term blood sugar (HbA1c) fell 0.6 points on keto, against 0.1 and 0.4 on the others. Half the keto group no longer met the definition of prediabetes, against 29% and 7%. And a liver insulin sensitivity index, one of the trial's two main outcomes, rose two to three times as much on keto.

On the side of possible harms, LDL cholesterol, the "bad" kind, fell on average on all three diets (by 10 mg/dL on keto, 22 on the Mediterranean diet and 8 on the very-low-fat diet), though clearly only on the Mediterranean diet. The authors report no difference among groups, and first author Max Petersen called the absence of a cholesterol rise the "most surprising finding." That holds for fasting cholesterol and for triglycerides across the whole day, but on keto, fatty acids in the blood rose 63% over 24 hours and triglycerides ran higher after meals. LDL was measured just after weight loss, which lowers it, and with 14 people per group the trial was too small to rule out a difference of around 12 mg/dL, the gap between keto and Mediterranean (our calculation from the paper's ranges). No serious side effects were reported; the table of lesser ones is in a supplement we couldn't open.

What it doesn't show. First, liver fat was a secondary outcome, one of dozens of things measured, with no correction for testing so many. The trial's registered main outcome was insulin sensitivity. Second, the groups were small, and the analysis included only the 42 who finished; nearly a third of the very-low-fat group dropped out, against under a fifth on keto, and the reasons aren't given in the parts of the paper we could open.

Third, and most important, everyone was retested while still on their diet. Liver fat and fasting insulin respond to carbohydrate within days: the same lab found in 2009 that liver fat fell about 30% in the first 48 hours of a calorie-cut low-carbohydrate diet, against 9% on a high-carbohydrate one, and a 2024 Danish study of 11 men saw a 35% fall after four days of low-carb eating without weight loss. Part of keto's edge may be the state of eating almost no carbohydrate, not a lasting change. The liver insulin index has the same problem, since it is calculated from fasting insulin, which a near carb-free diet lowers directly. As run, the trial can't tell the two apart.

The same 2009 study cuts the other way, though. After 7% weight loss and at least four weeks at steady weight, with the low-carbohydrate group still in ketosis, it found no clear difference in liver fat between the diets. So being on keto at retest doesn't guarantee an edge. That trial had 11 people per group with a wide spread, allowed more carbohydrate (under 50 g a day, against 20 g), supplied food only for the first two days, and only about half its volunteers had fatty liver.

What it could mean for people. For someone with fatty liver and prediabetes, the question is whether the kind of diet matters at equal weight loss. Here it did, on the day of testing. Whether it matters months later, and whether the liver benefit carries a cholesterol cost, this trial wasn't built to answer. A 2023 trial in Denmark of people with type 2 diabetes, not designed to match weight loss, found LDL came out about 14 mg/dL worse on a low-carbohydrate diet over six months. And the Helsinki-led study found signs of a starvation-like state in keto livers that its authors link to liver injury.

Why it's still interesting. Many diet trials fail to match weight loss or keep people on the diet, as the authors note. By cooking every meal and titrating calories, this team got three groups to within a third of a percentage point of each other. With weight off the table, keto still moved liver fat further. That makes it a clean test, if a small one.

Open questions.

Does the extra liver-fat loss last once carbohydrates come back? Rescan everyone after all three groups switch to the same mixed diet at steady weight; the registry lists follow-up visits for up to two years. If the edge persists, a keto phase during weight loss could be a one-off tool; if it fades, the benefit lasts only as long as the diet.

What happens to LDL cholesterol after months of keto at steady weight? Run a longer trial with enough people to detect a 10 mg/dL difference in LDL and in apolipoprotein B, a count of the particles that carry it. The answer decides whether the liver benefit comes with a heart-health cost.

Does it take full ketosis? The authors say they can't tell whether a milder carbohydrate cut would work. A trial with several carbohydrate levels at matched weight loss would show whether something easier to stick to would do.

A note on timing. The paper was published online on 27 August 2026 and ScienceDaily ran the release two days later; more coverage followed into mid-September. The trial ran from 2016 to 2025.